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Red3
29921.9
14771.0
13980.3
Blue2
2311.3
19200.5
33370.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions420681032

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.90.0
1.71.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
231
#14
1.30.0
1.21.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1477
#22
1.00.0
1.21.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
3337
#19
0.70.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1398
#17
0.30.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1920
#35
0.50.0
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End