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Red0
13040.1
29921.9
25561.0
Blue2
13980.3
19121.7
570.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220468101202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.90.2
1.21.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1.70.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2556
#36
1.00.2
0.40.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
57
#18
0.70.0
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1304
#34
0.10.2
0.50.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1398
#17
0.30.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End