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Red3
30390.8
2311.3
21730.7
Blue5
19121.7
14212.2
13040.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24068101235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#14
1.30.0
1.11.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
2.20.1
2.02.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3039
#28
0.80.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
1.70.1
1.61.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2173
#27
0.70.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
1304
#34
0.10.1
0.00.1
Auto
Teleop
End