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Red0
29750.0
34111.1
22060.8
Blue5
33370.7
28170.7
19271.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11012345605

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.11.3
1.60.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
1.60.3
0.30.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2206
#15
0.80.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2817
#23
0.70.3
0.60.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2975
#33
0.00.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
3337
#19
0.70.3
0.50.8
Auto
Teleop
End