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Red0
8702.7
5142.5
31710.6
Blue10
2713.4
2631.8
3582.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67010152025010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
870
#8
2.70.1
2.82.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
271
#2
3.40.0
3.23.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
514
#1
2.50.1
2.62.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
358
#5
2.30.0
2.22.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3171
#45
0.60.1
0.80.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
263
#27
1.80.0
1.61.7
Auto
Teleop
End