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Red5
28491.7
5641.4
5221.9
Blue8
14681.8
31370.9
2872.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions540268101258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
522
#25
1.90.0
1.91.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
287
#6
2.10.1
2.02.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1.70.0
1.71.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
1468
#22
1.80.1
1.61.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
564
#23
1.40.0
1.41.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
3137
#29
0.90.1
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End