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Red5
16261.6
3691.4
5450.7
Blue1
3291.1
18031.8
28720.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions441235651

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.60.0
1.61.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1.80.1
1.81.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
369
#19
1.40.0
1.51.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
329
#14
1.10.0
1.21.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
545
#7
0.70.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2872
#46
0.80.1
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End