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Red4
18031.8
17510.7
27850.2
Blue0
15461.2
18080.4
20270.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110234540

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.80.2
0.50.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
1546
#13
1.20.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1751
#28
0.70.2
0.20.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1808
#30
0.40.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2785
#40
0.20.2
0.60.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2027
#36
0.20.1
0.0-0.1
Auto
Teleop
End