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Red1
16070.8
27850.2
26381.0
Blue13
12031.0
2631.8
2713.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1402681012113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2638
#33
1.00.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
271
#2
3.40.6
2.43.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1607
#20
0.80.0
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
263
#27
1.80.7
0.71.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2785
#40
0.20.0
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
1203
#17
1.00.8
0.41.2
Auto
Teleop
End