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Red12
8702.7
5142.5
281.4
Blue4
16061.8
5641.4
27850.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions420681012124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
870
#8
2.70.4
2.12.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
1606
#16
1.80.1
1.21.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
514
#1
2.50.7
1.52.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
564
#23
1.40.1
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
28
#18
1.40.7
0.51.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
2785
#40
0.20.1
0.20.4
Auto
Teleop
End