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Red5
28690.6
5450.7
18031.8
Blue3
8840.9
28720.8
24871.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331234553

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.80.2
1.21.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
2487
#32
1.10.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
545
#7
0.70.2
1.21.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
884
#35
0.90.0
1.11.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2869
#10
0.60.2
0.30.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2872
#46
0.80.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End