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Red2
20270.2
27850.2
28751.4
Blue7
14681.8
24871.1
16261.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140268101227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2875
#21
1.40.0
1.11.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1468
#22
1.80.3
1.21.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2785
#40
0.20.0
0.10.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
1.60.2
1.51.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2027
#36
0.20.0
0.10.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
2487
#32
1.10.3
0.50.8
Auto
Teleop
End