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Red6
8702.7
5142.5
31710.6
Blue3
14681.8
31370.9
2872.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions650281012141663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
870
#8
2.70.0
2.82.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
287
#6
2.10.0
2.12.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
514
#1
2.50.0
2.62.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
1468
#22
1.80.0
1.81.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3171
#45
0.60.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
3137
#29
0.90.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End