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Red11
3832.8
17571.9
15112.8
Blue6
19730.4
15591.6
32802.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330246810116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.80.4
1.31.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
2.40.2
1.31.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
383
#3
2.80.7
0.71.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
1559
#16
1.60.2
0.91.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1.90.7
1.01.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
1973
#51
0.40.3
0.40.6
Auto
Teleop
End