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Red5
25930.3
11531.3
23490.9
Blue2
13500.9
21240.7
28772.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2304681052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1153
#20
1.30.2
1.31.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
2877
#33
2.00.0
1.41.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2349
#28
0.90.3
0.30.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
1350
#34
0.90.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2593
#49
0.30.3
0.20.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
2124
#27
0.70.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End