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Qual 312010 Boston Regional
Red1
19160.8
611.8
17571.9
Blue2
11531.3
20790.5
882.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions340268101212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1757
#4
1.90.2
1.8→1.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.9
88
#5
2.80.1
2.3→2.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
61
#15
1.80.2
1.1→0.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.4
1153
#20
1.30.1
1.5→1.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1916
#32
0.80.2
0.2→0.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.2
2079
#39
0.50.1
0.2→0.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—