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Red0
19730.4
31831.0
24231.4
Blue0
27131.0
19650.5
17540.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22012345600

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2423
#40
1.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
2713
#30
1.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3183
#36
1.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1754
#44
0.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1973
#51
0.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1965
#48
0.5
Auto
Teleop
End