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Red5
111.6
17571.9
19231.5
Blue2
2291.1
1571.3
17680.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52068101252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.90.1
1.61.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
157
#9
1.30.0
1.00.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
11
#13
1.60.0
1.41.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
229
#23
1.10.0
1.31.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1923
#21
1.50.0
1.21.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
1768
#50
0.70.0
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End