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Red10
2461.3
32802.4
14030.8
Blue2
31480.4
15591.6
23490.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions320681012102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.40.3
2.02.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
1559
#16
1.60.0
1.41.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
246
#25
1.30.5
0.91.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
2349
#28
0.90.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1403
#42
0.80.3
0.40.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
3148
#24
0.40.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End