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Red8
15591.6
111.6
28880.9
Blue7
19223.0
24231.4
20790.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions340268101287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#13
1.60.2
1.41.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
1922
#29
3.00.1
2.52.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1559
#16
1.60.2
1.31.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2423
#40
1.40.2
1.21.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2888
#22
0.90.4
0.60.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
2079
#39
0.50.1
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End