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Red5
23490.9
14741.1
25890.4
Blue7
26481.5
20431.8
19231.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1402681012141657

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1474
#47
1.10.3
0.81.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1.80.3
1.61.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2349
#28
0.90.3
0.60.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1923
#21
1.50.2
1.41.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2589
#43
0.40.3
0.20.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
2648
#18
1.50.2
0.81.0
Auto
Teleop
End