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Red1
18841.2
26481.5
17680.7
Blue0
28760.5
22620.4
14030.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10246810

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2648
#18
1.50.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
1403
#42
0.80.0
-0.0-0.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1884
#31
1.20.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
2876
#46
0.50.0
0.10.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1768
#50
0.70.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2262
#45
0.40.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End