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Red1
25281.8
1731.0
12181.6
Blue6
15172.0
23772.3
25340.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55026810121416

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.80.1
1.91.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
2377
#13
2.30.0
2.32.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1218
#11
1.60.1
1.71.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2.00.0
2.02.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
173
#22
1.00.1
1.11.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
2534
#42
0.60.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End