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Red1
13890.1
28490.8
25281.8
Blue1
22340.7
25370.4
4671.1
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120468101211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
467
#12
1.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2849
#24
0.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2234
#25
0.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1389
#44
0.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2537
#47
0.4
Auto
Teleop
End