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Red5
18930.8
8881.1
10583.2
Blue4
11431.9
2871.0
23772.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330124567854

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3.20.1
1.92.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
2377
#13
2.30.0
1.61.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
888
#10
1.10.2
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
1.90.1
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1893
#14
0.80.2
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
287
#43
1.00.1
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End