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Red6
11431.9
16292.0
11680.8
Blue3
14460.7
4841.6
25281.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21013456763

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.00.3
0.91.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1.80.1
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1.90.3
0.61.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
484
#34
1.60.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1168
#41
0.80.3
0.40.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1446
#37
0.70.1
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End