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Red4
7080.7
14460.7
23772.3
Blue5
3652.4
7682.0
28490.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34026810121445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2377
#13
2.30.0
1.71.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
365
#4
2.40.1
1.31.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
708
#35
0.70.1
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
768
#5
2.00.1
1.81.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1446
#37
0.70.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2849
#24
0.80.1
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End