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Red2
25281.8
4671.1
11950.2
Blue0
870.8
33070.6
17480.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21046820

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.80.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
87
#30
0.80.1
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
467
#12
1.10.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
3307
#36
0.60.1
0.10.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1195
#48
0.20.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1748
#50
0.40.1
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End