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Red1
2040.7
17480.4
13890.1
Blue5
28661.0
8690.8
3652.4
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12046810121415

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
204
#23
0.70.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
365
#4
2.40.3
1.21.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1748
#50
0.40.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
2866
#33
1.00.3
0.60.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1389
#44
0.10.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
869
#27
0.80.2
0.10.4
Auto
Teleop
End