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Red3
16261.0
19800.8
11680.8
Blue5
11431.9
18290.8
2251.0
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32046810121435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1626
#32
1.00.0
1.21.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
1.90.2
1.01.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1980
#31
0.80.0
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
225
#17
1.00.2
1.01.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1168
#41
0.80.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
1829
#19
0.80.2
0.30.5
Auto
Teleop
End