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Red4
18930.8
4671.1
7682.0
Blue3
2721.3
17271.9
8690.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions340268101243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
768
#5
2.00.0
1.91.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1727
#26
1.90.0
1.81.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
467
#12
1.10.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
272
#16
1.30.1
1.21.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1893
#14
0.80.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
869
#27
0.80.0
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End