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Red3
11431.9
25370.4
18930.8
Blue4
11950.2
3652.4
4841.6
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24068101234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.90.0
1.31.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
365
#4
2.40.0
2.42.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1893
#14
0.80.0
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
484
#34
1.60.0
1.51.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2537
#47
0.40.0
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1195
#48
0.20.0
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End