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Qual 72010 Chesapeake Regional
Red4
30151.3
18950.6
13910.9
Blue5
19800.8
881.9
7080.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220134545

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3015
#15
1.30.2
0.8→1.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.6
88
#3
1.90.3
0.9→1.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1391
#21
0.90.2
0.7→0.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.1
1980
#31
0.80.3
0.4→0.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1895
#38
0.60.2
0.4→0.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.1
708
#35
0.70.3
0.6→0.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—