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Red1
17480.4
18930.8
30151.3
Blue4
2040.7
12181.6
16261.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23024681014

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3015
#15
1.30.1
1.31.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1218
#11
1.60.1
1.51.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1893
#14
0.80.1
0.90.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1626
#32
1.00.1
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1748
#50
0.40.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
204
#23
0.70.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End