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Red9
17831.1
12541.2
17184.3
Blue7
9041.0
27713.3
16770.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions530246810121497

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4.30.2
3.03.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
3.30.2
2.22.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1254
#32
1.20.3
1.11.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
904
#26
1.00.2
0.81.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1783
#21
1.10.2
0.60.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
1677
#36
0.30.2
0.40.6
Auto
Teleop
End