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Red4
27671.2
29591.5
19183.9
Blue4
12541.2
26040.8
24741.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions630248101244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
2474
#15
1.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2959
#16
1.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1254
#32
1.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2767
#31
1.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
2604
#22
0.8
Auto
Teleop
End