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Red6
26040.8
32342.2
12431.8
Blue5
26170.9
29591.5
2161.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332345665

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.20.1
1.41.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
2959
#16
1.50.1
1.11.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1243
#12
1.80.1
1.41.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
216
#35
1.30.1
1.21.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2604
#22
0.80.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2617
#38
0.90.1
1.01.1
Auto
Teleop
End