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Red5
19183.9
21881.2
20150.3
Blue3
32342.2
9041.0
8570.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5302468101253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3.90.0
3.73.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
2.20.0
1.81.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2188
#20
1.20.0
1.11.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
904
#26
1.00.0
1.11.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2015
#37
0.30.0
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
857
#28
0.60.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End