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Red15
26452.9
26111.5
17184.3
Blue3
20150.3
12431.8
29591.5
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions520468101214153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4.30.5
2.53.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
1243
#12
1.80.0
1.01.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2.90.5
1.72.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
2959
#16
1.50.1
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2611
#24
1.50.7
0.61.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
2015
#37
0.30.0
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End