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Red14
8570.6
17184.3
27713.3
Blue10
19183.9
22461.5
17831.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86024101214161410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4.30.3
4.14.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
3.90.2
3.73.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3.30.3
3.23.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
2246
#23
1.50.2
1.41.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
857
#28
0.60.3
0.30.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
1783
#21
1.10.2
1.01.1
Auto
Teleop
End