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Red4
740.8
5181.1
26452.9
Blue7
20751.7
20001.3
21881.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions540268101247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.90.0
3.02.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
1.70.2
1.71.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
518
#27
1.10.0
1.11.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2000
#29
1.30.2
1.11.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
74
#30
0.80.0
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
2188
#20
1.20.2
1.01.2
Auto
Teleop
End