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Red5
32911.6
25121.4
22250.8
Blue1
24180.8
18161.3
8761.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34026810121451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.60.0
1.51.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
876
#9
1.50.1
1.51.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2512
#14
1.40.0
1.31.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1816
#23
1.30.0
1.31.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2225
#31
0.80.0
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
0.80.1
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End