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Red1
31021.1
30260.4
28231.3
Blue0
21430.9
25350.9
22201.2
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions340268101210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.30.0
1.41.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1.20.1
1.31.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1.10.0
1.11.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2143
#25
0.90.1
1.11.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3026
#28
0.40.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
2535
#49
0.90.1
1.00.9
Auto
Teleop
End