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Red2
22250.8
24180.8
25491.1
Blue0
22190.5
25610.2
25350.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21034567820

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2549
#15
1.10.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2535
#49
0.90.1
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
0.80.0
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2219
#47
0.50.1
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2225
#31
0.80.0
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
2561
#51
0.20.1
0.10.0
Auto
Teleop
End