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Red3
32021.1
32750.3
24721.0
Blue1
25290.8
22390.5
30540.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11024681031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3202
#17
1.10.1
0.30.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2529
#54
0.80.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2472
#22
1.00.1
0.70.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
3054
#44
0.60.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3275
#50
0.30.1
0.20.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2239
#63
0.50.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End