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Red2
32930.9
21750.4
30421.2
Blue0
25610.2
30580.7
16751.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2104681020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3042
#32
1.20.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1675
#35
1.10.1
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3293
#16Sur
0.90.0
0.20.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
3058
#58
0.70.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2175
#29
0.40.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2561
#51Sur
0.20.1
-0.1-0.2
Auto
Teleop
End