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Red8
21290.5
30360.9
19863.9
Blue3
24790.9
24721.0
21430.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41026810121483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3.90.3
2.83.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
2472
#22
1.00.1
0.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3036
#39
0.90.4
0.30.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2143
#25
0.90.1
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2129
#27
0.50.4
0.40.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
2479
#24
0.90.1
0.20.4
Auto
Teleop
End