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Red3
25350.9
31000.9
31971.6
Blue10
31220.6
32911.6
19863.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions340268101214310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3197
#26
1.60.0
1.61.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
3.90.3
3.03.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3100
#55
0.90.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
1.60.5
0.71.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2535
#49
0.90.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
3122
#40
0.60.5
0.20.7
Auto
Teleop
End