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Red3
26671.2
30560.5
32671.1
Blue0
21290.5
32630.9
32930.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11023456730

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2667
#33
1.20.2
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
3293
#16
0.90.1
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3267
#19
1.10.2
0.30.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
3263
#12
0.90.1
0.10.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3056
#43
0.50.2
0.10.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2129
#27
0.50.1
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End