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Red6
19863.9
32630.9
30230.7
Blue0
29770.6
25491.1
25310.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions412681012141660

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3.90.1
3.33.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
2549
#15
1.10.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3263
#12
0.90.2
0.00.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2977
#59
0.60.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3023
#48
0.70.2
0.20.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2531
#45
0.60.1
0.20.1
Auto
Teleop
End